4 parties around the threshold. And does the 'Netanyahu bloc' have a coalition?

June Green
June 21, 2022   
Photo: 
Avshalom Sassoni/Flash90

A survey conducted by the Midgam Institute, headed by Mano Geva, and published this evening (Tuesday) in the main edition of News 12, indicates that the map of the blocs would not change if the elections were held today.

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According to the survey, the current coalition would have received 56 seats, and Netanyahu's bloc would have received 59 seats.

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The survey also shows that the New Hope, Meretz, Ra'am, and Yamina parties are on the verge of reaching the electoral threshold with 4 seats each.

In the event that MK Amichai Shikli runs on a new list for the Knesset, he will receive approximately 1.81% of the votes, approximately 2 seats.

Mandate results: 

The Likud led by Netanyahu receives 35 seats, and Yesh Atid led by Yair Lapid - 20.

The Religious Zionist Party of Bezalel Smotrich and Itamar Ben-Gvir receives 9 seats, Blue and White 9, Shas 8, United Torah Judaism 7 and the Labor Party 6.

Yisrael Beiteinu receives 5 seats, as does the Joint List.

Yamina led by Naftali Bennett - 4, Gideon Sa'ar's New Hope - 4, Mansour Abbas's Ra'am - 4, and Meretz - 4.

And what will happen if the Yamina party does not run in the elections?

The survey indicates that its mandates will be divided among several parties in the left-wing bloc: two additional mandates for Yesh Atid, one mandate for Blue and White, and one mandate for Avigdor Lieberman - thus the map of the blocs does not change.

In the event of a unity between Bennett and Lapid, the two receive additional power and reach 26 seats, compared to 36 for Likud.

In this case, Netanyahu's bloc strengthens to 60, because New Hope will not pass the threshold.

In such a scenario, according to the survey, Likud receives 36 seats, Yesh Atid and Yamina 26, Blue and White 10, the Religious Zionist Party 9, Shas 8, United Torah Judaism 7, the Labor Party 6, Yisrael Beiteinu 5, the Joint List 5, Ra'am 4 and Meretz 4. New Hope remains below the threshold.

Who is most suitable for the position of Prime Minister?

According to the survey results, Benjamin Netanyahu leads every other politician in terms of his suitability for the position. Compared to Naftali Bennett - 47% responded that Netanyahu is more suitable, 23% responded that Bennett is more suitable, 25% responded that neither of them and 5% responded that they don't know.

Compared to Yair Lapid, 47% responded that Netanyahu is more suitable, 31% responded that Lapid, 18% responded that neither of them and 4% responded that they did not know.

Compared to Benny Gantz, 46% responded that Netanyahu is more suitable, 26% responded that Gantz, 23% responded that neither of them and 5% responded that they don't know.

What is better - elections or a new government in the current Knesset led by Netanyahu?

57% of all respondents to the survey responded that they prefer elections over a Netanyahu government in the current Knesset, compared to 32% who responded that they prefer a government led by Netanyahu and 11% who responded that they do not know.

Broken down by voters, 76% of those who voted for the parties that make up the current coalition responded that they favor elections, while only 14% responded that they favor a government led by Netanyahu in the current Knesset.

Among those who voted for the opposition parties, 37% responded that they preferred elections, 57% responded that they preferred a government led by Netanyahu in the current Knesset, and 6% responded that they did not know.


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