Data from a survey by a geocartography company headed by Prof. Avi Degani, conducted this week for 'Ma'ariv-Sofahshavua', shows that the majority of the Jewish public in Israel (58%) believes that the indefinite ceasefire agreed upon with Hamas was a mistake that wasted the IDF's achievements during Operation Protective Edge, and that it was necessary to continue striking Hamas in order to dismantle its military capabilities.
According to the survey, only 331% of the Israeli public believes that the ceasefire with Hamas was the right step, which creates a chance for a political solution through Egypt and Abbas.
The survey data, which also examined political trends, shows that if Knesset elections were held now, the right-wing-ultra-Orthodox bloc would receive 84 seats, according to the survey, compared to 36 seats for the center-left bloc.
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Prof. Degani believes that the results confirm the public's rightward tilt in times of war.
The survey also states that 61% of the public believe that Israel did not win the war in the sense of achieving goals that ensure peace over time. Analysis of the data shows that 28% of the survey participants agree with the statement that "the IDF won the war but Israel did not win," 9% strongly agree with this statement, and 24% partially agree with it.
Regarding the performance of the political and security leadership during the operation, Chief of Staff Benny Gantz receives the highest evaluation - 72% of the public believe that his performance was good to very good. Defense Minister Moshe (Bogi) Ya'alon receives 53% of the public, who believe that his performance was good to very good. The lowest score of the three goes to Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu.
While in the early days of the campaign his popularity skyrocketed, by the end of the campaign only 491% of the public believed his performance was good to very good, while about 201% defined his performance as bad to very bad.
And what is happening in the mandate arena?
First, it is important to note that the calculation of the mandates in the survey was done according to the new threshold, which stands at 3.251%, and which makes it difficult for small parties to pass it.
According to the survey, three factions in the current Knesset would not be represented in the next Knesset: the Movement led by Tzipi Livni, Kadima led by Shaul Mofaz, and the Ra'am-Ta'al party.
And these are the data:
The Likud led by Benjamin Netanyahu receives 32 seats, compared to the 19 seats it has in the current Knesset (after the dissolution of Likud Beitenu).
Avigdor Lieberman's Yisrael Beiteinu receives 17 seats in the poll, compared to the 12 it currently has.
Yesh Atid, led by Lapid, is collapsing from 19 seats in the current Knesset to only nine in the poll.
In contrast, Jewish Home, led by Bennett, is making an impressive leap that makes it the second largest party with 18 seats, compared to 12 seats today.
According to the survey, most opposition parties are losing seats, as part of the major collapse of the center-left bloc.
The Labor Party, led by Bozi Herzog, receives 12 seats in the poll, compared to 15 it received under the leadership of Shelly Yachimovich in the last elections.
Shas, led by Deri, loses four seats from its strength, from 11 to 7.
And the surprise of the poll: United Torah Judaism climbs from seven to 10 seats.
Meretz, led by Gal-On, maintains its strength - six seats.
Balad with five seats and Hadash with four close the list.
The survey was conducted Tuesday night among a representative sample of 500 people in the Jewish public, immediately after the tripartite press conference of Netanyahu, Ya'alon, and Gantz. However, it included weightings regarding voting in the Arab sector, which were conducted separately.
