About first names and statistics

Eliezer the Lion
November 30, 2014   
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The media often produces artificial "statistical celebrations," which are often superficial. Take, for example, the annual celebration of common names given to newborns.

Israel is a unique society in the field of naming because the secular Jewish majority tends to change direction periodically. The change of names is an important phenomenon from a sociological perspective because it reflects fluctuations in the scale of values. Therefore, it seems logical to report on it. The problem is what is reported and what is analyzed.

The value change that the names reflect is not measured by the top ten or the top fifty. A "common" name (in the limited list published in the media) is simply a name whose frequency is slightly higher than the thousands of others (Jewish society in Israel is divided into about 3,250 different names). In most cases, what is defined as such a name appears with a frequency that does not even exceed 41% of all names in the population.

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Take for example the symbolic name "Adele" which appears in fourth place this year (by the way, a very new name). About 1,000 parents gave this name to their baby girl. That's quite a few, and certainly interesting, but it's still a negligible percentage out of the 85,584 girls born this year. To know what this name reflects, we'll have to find other popular names with similar semantics.

In other words, in order to assess value changes through name change, one must locate the frequency of "content worlds," that is, clusters of names that collectively denote similar themes/ideas. For example, the names oak, cedar, pine, elm, anemone, and cyclamen denote plants native to the Land of Israel, and this may indicate a love of nature and/or an affinity for the Land of Israel.

In conclusion, it is important to learn to read statistical data and to be wary of media celebrations of statistics that have no real content, other than curiosity.


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