A day after leaving the Likud: From a survey by the Midgam Institute published in
News 12 It appears that the main victims of Gideon Sa'ar's move are Yamina Chairman Naftali Bennett and Opposition Chairman Yair Lapid. Likud is also weakened following his departure, while Benny Gantz is almost wiped out.
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According to the survey, if the elections were held today, the Likud would win 26 seats, with Yamina remaining the second-largest party with 18 seats. Saar comes in third with 16 seats. Yesh Atid-Telem, the fourth-largest party, with only 15 seats. The Joint List continues to weaken due to internal struggles to 11 seats. Shas and United Torah Judaism each win 8 seats, followed by Blue and White, Yisrael Beiteinu and Meretz, which each receive only 6 seats. Labor, led by Amir Peretz, Jewish Home, led by Rafi Peretz, and the Gesher Party do not pass the threshold. If these are the election results, they will allow a change of government if the Yamina party, Saar's party, Yesh Atid-Telem, Blue and White and Yisrael Beiteinu form a coalition of 61 seats, without Netanyahu and the Haredim. This poll should greatly worry Benny Gantz and worry Netanyahu no less, and there are still no contacts between the two. It is in the interest of both of them to dry Saar and Bennett out, but at the moment there are no negotiations between them. How will the joining of Eisenkot and Shasha-Biton affect them? In the event that former Chief of Staff Gadi Eisenkot and Likud Knesset MK Yifat Shasha-Biton join Saar in his new party, the party will win 22 seats. Likud is not significantly affected by the joining of the two and still remains with 26 seats. The main victims of such a move will be Yamina and Naftali Bennett, who will drop to 16 seats, and Lapid, who will drop with Yesh Atid to 13. Only seats. The Joint List remains with 11 seats, Shas and United Torah Judaism with 8 seats each, Meretz with 6 seats. Blue and White and Yisrael Beytenu are approaching the dangerous zone with only 5 seats. How will a Sa'ar and Bennett team up affect it? In such a case, one list of the Yamina party and Gideon Sa'ar's party wins 32 seats, while the Likud remains with the same 26 seats. A significant gap behind it is Yesh Atid, along with Ron Huldai, with 15 seats. Shas and United Torah Judaism remain with the same numbers - 8, Blue and White and Meretz rise to 7 seats, Yisrael Beytenu with 6 seats.
Respondents to the survey were also asked who they thought was most deserving of serving as prime minister. The leader in the poll is Netanyahu with 29%, followed by Saar with 16%, Bennett with 13%, Lapid with 10% and Gantz, the alternate prime minister with only 5%. When focusing on the segmentation of right-wing voters only, Netanyahu rises to 43% of voters who think he is most deserving of serving as prime minister, followed by Saar with 16%, Bennett rises to 21%. According to left-wing voters, 22% think Lapid is deserving of serving as prime minister, Gantz gets 13%, Saar gets 18%.
Becomes the fourth largest
From a survey by Prof. Camille Fox published this evening in theDashes 13 It appears that if the elections were held today, the Likud would be almost unharmed, remaining with 28 seats. Yamina loses six seats compared to the previous poll and drops to 16. So does Yesh Atid-Telem, which receives 16 - a decrease of three seats from the previous poll. On the other hand, Sa'ar's party will receive 15 seats. The Joint List is stable with 11 seats, while Shas and United Torah Judaism receive seven seats each. Yisrael Beiteinu and Meretz also maintain their strength with seven seats, but Blue and White is at a new low, with Benny Gantz's party receiving only six seats. Labor, Gesher, and Jewish Home - once again fail to pass the threshold. Now, the bloc map is split into a Netanyahu bloc and a bloc to replace him. Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, along with Yamina Chairman Naftali Bennett, who does not support him but has not ruled out meeting with him, and the Haredi parties will receive 58 seats. The bloc to replace Netanyahu includes Yisrael Beytenu Chairman Avigdor Lieberman, Saar, who announced that he is coming to replace the Prime Minister, Yesh Atid Chairman Yair Lapid, Gantz, Meretz and the Joint List - this bloc has 62 seats. It should be noted that last week, before Saar's announcement, Netanyahu's bloc with those partners stood at 65 seats, compared to the bloc to replace him, which was then without Saar - and stood at only 55 seats. Saar's entry also changes the picture on the question of suitability for the premiership: Netanyahu maintains his strength with 31%, immediately followed by Saar with 16%, and this time Bennett is pushed back one place with only 12%. Lapid with 11% and Gantz with only 8%.
Yamina loses 4 seats
survey
''Here's the news'' The results of which were published this evening indicate that Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu does not have 61 mandates to form a government without Gideon Sa'ar. According to the survey, the Likud led by Netanyahu remains the largest party but is losing strength compared to the results of the previous Kan News survey (31), receiving 25 mandates. The right-wing party led by Gideon Sa'ar, who announced yesterday his withdrawal from the Likud, receives 18 mandates. If former Chief of Staff Gadi Eisenkot and Yifat Shasha-Biton join Saar, after Zvika Hauser and Yoaz Hendel have already announced that they will join him, the strength of Saar's party would even increase to 21 seats according to the poll, and Likud would drop to 23. Saar is also taking seats from other right-wing and center parties: Naftali Bennett's Yamina receives 17 seats in the current Kan News poll (21 in the previous poll), Yesh Atid-Telem receives 15 seats (17), Blue and White receives 7 seats (9) and Yisrael Beytenu receives 6 seats (9). Shas receives 8 seats (9) and United Torah Judaism 7. The Joint List and Meretz receive 11 and 6 seats respectively, as they received in the previous poll. The Labor Party, Gesher, Homeland Security and Otzma Yehudit do not pass the threshold. In response to the question of who is more suitable to serve as prime minister between Netanyahu and Saar, 40% of all respondents to the poll chose Netanyahu and 32% chose Saar. Among Blue and White voters who responded to the poll, 61% chose Saar. In response to the question of the suitability for the prime ministership between Netanyahu and Yamina Chairman Bennett, 39% of the respondents chose Netanyahu and 25% chose Bennett.