American intelligence estimates that the damage caused to Iran's nuclear program during the 'Raging Hari' war is limited.
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According to a report last night (Tuesday) in the Reuters news agency, estimates are that the time to break into the bomb remains 9-12 months, as it was after Operation 'Am Kalavi'.
Before Operation Dogfight last June, US intelligence agencies estimated that Iran could produce enough uranium for a bomb in about three to six months. After the operation and the attack on the nuclear facilities at Natanz, Fordow and Isfahan, US intelligence estimates pushed that timeline back to about nine months to a year.
Three sources familiar with the matter told the news agency that Iran still currently possesses a large quantity of enriched uranium - about 440 kg at an enrichment level of 60%. The enriched material has not been detected, and this quantity is enough to develop one bomb within a year at most.
If the uranium is enriched further, it could be enough for ten bombs.
But it now turns out that in the 'Harry's Roar' strikes, the US and Israel focused mainly on conventional military targets and the Iranian leadership, and less on the nuclear facilities themselves, which left the timetable in doubt.
The International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) expresses deep concern over the inability to verify the location of approximately 440 kilograms of uranium enriched to a level of 60%. The intelligence assessment is that the material is stored in deep tunnels beneath the Nuclear Research Center in Isfahan.
It was also reported that the White House is currently examining operational options, including ground raids into the tunnels in Isfahan, to seize or destroy the existing stockpile.
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