Against the backdrop of Netanyahu's submission of the pardon request: The Direct Polls Institute conducted a mandate survey that was published this evening (Tuesday) on the main edition of the i24 channel.
The survey data shows that the Likud party receives 35 seats, while Yair Lapid's Yesh Atid party does not pass the threshold.
The second largest party is Naftali Bennett's 'Bennett 2026', which receives 19 seats, and in third place is Aryeh Deri's Shas party with 11. Avigdor Lieberman's Yisrael Beiteinu and Yair Golan's Democrats with 10 each, and United Torah Judaism with 9 seats.
Ben-Gvir's Otzma Yehudit party receives 7 seats in the poll, and Smotrich's Religious Zionism receives 5 seats.
Yashar - Gadi Eisenkot's party receives only 4 seats.
The Arab parties Hadash-Ta'al and Ra'am each receive 5 seats.
Yesh Atid, the reservist parties, Blue and White, and Balad do not pass the electoral threshold.
Divided into blocs: 67 seats for Netanyahu's bloc, 43 for the left bloc, and 10 seats for the Arab parties.
The public interest in amnesty
In another survey conducted for "7 Sharon Gal," in the context of the pardon request, respondents were asked: "What do you think is the correct public interest?"
45% answered "to end the affair as soon as possible, even if the pardon is not conditional on a confession and retirement from public life," and 46% answered that the interest is "for the trial to continue to the end, even if this causes continued public tension," compared to 25% of the coalition voters.
In response to the question: "Will canceling the trial and granting amnesty to Netanyahu calm the flames and the division in the nation?", 35% answered yes, compared to 56% who answered no.
The sample was collected and compiled by Direct Polls Ltd., headed by Tzuriel Sharon, for i24NEWS on November 30, 2025, using a digital system combined with a panel, among 500 adult respondents (18+) who constitute a representative sample of the general population in Israel. The statistical sampling error is ±4.4% with a probability of 95%.
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